September 25, 2026

Although a non-Arctic point out, China has become a significant player in the Arctic region, partaking in economic, scientific, cultural, diplomatic, and military services routines in and all around different Arctic nations around the world. This report assesses the probable implications of Chinese investments and activities in the Arctic for the regional rules-based order and for regional and transatlantic safety.

In this study, which was performed as a collaborative effort between the RAND Company and the Swedish Defence Exploration Agency (Totalförsvarets Forskningsinstitut, or FOI), the authors examine China’s tactic and diplomacy in the area and inventory present actions in the North American Arctic (United States, Canada, and Greenland). Via such methods as a circumstance-based mostly tabletop work out, this study also normally takes a broader search further than the Arctic location to superior realize the styles and features of Chinese things to do that have been problematic and potentially destabilizing in other elements of the environment.

The authors evaluate how some of these functions could also come up in the Arctic—a area whose physical, political, economic, and social traits set it apart, in several techniques, from the rest of the globe. They advance five recommendations that the U.S. government—particularly the U.S. Office of Defense—in collaboration with global associates and indigenous populations could just take to preserve and reinforce recent things of Arctic resilience and mitigate undesirable Chinese involvement in the region.

This investigate was sponsored by U.S. European Command’s Directorate of Strategies, Coverage, Method, and Capabilities (J-5/8) and executed inside of the Intercontinental Stability and Protection Policy Middle of the RAND National Safety Research Division (NSRD).

This report is component of the RAND Company Investigation report sequence. RAND experiences current analysis findings and aim assessment that tackle the difficulties struggling with the community and private sectors. All RAND reports undertake rigorous peer evaluation to guarantee large expectations for study quality and objectivity.

This document and trademark(s) contained herein are secured by law. This representation of RAND mental home is delivered for noncommercial use only. Unauthorized publishing of this publication on line is prohibited linking directly to this solution website page is encouraged. Permission is required from RAND to reproduce, or reuse in one more sort, any of its investigate paperwork for business reasons. For information on reprint and reuse permissions, make sure you visit www.rand.org/pubs/permissions.

The RAND Corporation is a nonprofit institution that will help make improvements to coverage and decisionmaking as a result of investigate and assessment. RAND’s publications do not essentially mirror the viewpoints of its analysis clients and sponsors.

Leave a Reply